Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.054874 0.059084 0.063473 0.068395 0.073767 0.079457 0.085949
2025-12-21 0.046455 0.052540 0.059256 0.067240 0.076502 0.086944 0.099654
2025-12-28 0.041654 0.049043 0.057590 0.068259 0.081297 0.096805 0.116792
2026-01-04 0.037892 0.046123 0.056022 0.068898 0.085347 0.105845 0.133618
2026-01-11 0.034392 0.043041 0.053788 0.068264 0.087473 0.112395 0.147683
2026-01-18 0.031703 0.040649 0.052089 0.067983 0.089804 0.119166 0.162449
2026-01-25 0.029117 0.038126 0.049935 0.066795 0.090647 0.123802 0.174483
2026-02-01 0.026634 0.035519 0.047422 0.064827 0.090115 0.126305 0.183469
2026-02-08 0.024588 0.033343 0.045308 0.063192 0.089829 0.128998 0.192812
2026-02-15 0.022856 0.031473 0.043471 0.061773 0.089671 0.131758 0.202369
2026-02-22 0.021836 0.030536 0.042877 0.062098 0.092095 0.138554 0.218909
2026-03-01 0.020360 0.028844 0.041067 0.060440 0.091287 0.140149 0.226904
2026-03-08 0.018737 0.026868 0.038754 0.057908 0.088991 0.139291 0.230874
2026-03-15 0.017640 0.025621 0.037472 0.056905 0.089089 0.142386 0.242109
2026-03-22 0.017081 0.025154 0.037345 0.057723 0.092233 0.150851 0.263906
2026-03-29 0.016494 0.024607 0.037054 0.058240 0.094886 0.158666 0.285328
2026-04-05 0.015722 0.023726 0.036177 0.057714 0.095679 0.163210 0.300915
2026-04-12 0.015073 0.023002 0.035507 0.057482 0.096949 0.168695 0.318926
2026-04-19 0.014320 0.022072 0.034447 0.056504 0.096787 0.171468 0.331658
2026-04-26 0.013497 0.020985 0.033071 0.054882 0.095318 0.171608 0.338842
2026-05-03 0.012782 0.020045 0.031891 0.053535 0.094256 0.172432 0.347548
2026-05-10 0.012148 0.019210 0.030846 0.052364 0.093439 0.173653 0.357224
2026-05-17 0.011810 0.018856 0.030603 0.052632 0.095393 0.180590 0.380541